2024 NFL playoff picture: AFC, NFC seed projections, chances..

We’re through Week 6 of the 2024 NFL regular season, and although the postseason is months away, we’re taking an early look at the current playoff picture and the road to Super Bowl LIX.

Which teams are already in good shape? Which still have a lot of work to do to ultimately get into the 14-team field? We used ESPN’s Football Power Index to project the rest of the season, looking at the playoff picture for both conferences. We included updated odds for every team to make the postseason, clinch its division and even make the Super Bowl. Here’s everything you need right now.

Last update: Oct. 15 at 10 a.m. ET

Projecting the AFC playoff field

Four teams in the NFL have a 90% or better chance to make the playoffs, and they all play in the AFC. The Chiefs are over 99%, the Bills are at 95%, the Ravens are at 94% and the Texans sit at 93%.

Division races in the AFC might not be super exciting down the stretch, too. The Chiefs are at 94% to win the AFC West, while the Texans are 83% to claim the AFC South. Then the Ravens are 71% in the AFC North, while the Bills climbed to 86% in the AFC East after their Monday night win over the Jets.

The Patriots sit at the bottom of the conference in playoff chances (less than 1%), but the Browns (3%) and Jaguars (5%) are right there with them.

Projecting the NFC playoff field

Two NFC North teams lead the conference here — the Lions and Vikings both have 86% odds to make the postseason. Could we see all four NFC North teams in the playoffs? The Bears (42%) have the lowest chances of the four teams. (The Packers are 66%.)

Remember when the Saints had the best chances to make the playoffs after Week 2? They were 81%. Now? Just 15%! And check out the Cowboys all the way down at 20% after falling to 3-3.

The Panthers are at the bottom of the NFL in odds to make the playoffs, checking in with less than a 1% chance. The Giants have a 4% chance to make the postseason.


NFL playoff schedule

Jan. 11-13: Wild-card round
Jan. 18-19: Divisional round
Jan. 26: AFC and NFC championship games
Feb. 9: Super Bowl LIX (in New Orleans)

Related Posts

Taylor Swift’s Outfit in Toronto Eras Show Captures Attention..

Pop star Taylor Swift performed in the second night of her “Eras Tour” in Toronto on Friday night, during which fans packed Rogers Centre to get a glimpse of…

Travis Kelce’s mom, Donna, reveals whether Taylor Swift will join them for Thanksgiving..

Donna Kelce has revealed whether her son Travis Kelce’s girlfriend, Taylor Swift, will be joining their family for Thanksgiving celebrations this year. During an appearance on the “Today” show Thursday,…

BREAKING: Dаllаѕ Cowboyѕ Quаrterbаck Receіveѕ Mаѕѕіve Punіѕhment From NFL..

The Dallas Cowboys have been having one of the most disappointing seasons in recent team history in 2024. With a record of 3-6 and one of the toughest…

BREAKING: Dallas Cowboys WR CeeDee Lamb Suddenly Has Concerning Injury Pop Up..

The Dallas Cowboys (3-6) didn’t need more injuries before their Week 11 matchup with the Houston Texans (6-4) on Monday night. The Cowboys season is already on life support with quarterback Dak…

BREAKING: Mike Tyson, Jake Paul Fight Draws 7-Word Rant from Cowboys Star..

GettyFollowing the Mike Tyson vs. Jake Paul fight, one Dallas Cowboys made his thoughts clear about the lackluster event. Jake Paul beat Mike Tyson Friday night in…

“What lovely curtains you have there!” – Jerry Jones putting up curtains at AT&T Stadium for Mike Tyson-Jake Paul fight has Cowboys fans losing it..

Amidst rampant criticism after CeeDee Lamb’s missed touchdown, curtains come up at Jerry Jones’ AT&T Stadium ahead of boxing match. Jerry Jones’ AT&T Stadium has curtains down…